Historically, Venezuelan leaders — starting with Hugo Chavez and continuing with Nicolás Maduro — have relied heavily on the country’s military forces to stay in power. Cutting off arms sales to the Maduro regime’s security forces will weaken it, bolstering the odds of the opposition taking power.
America’s poor track record with intervention in Latin American affairs should give Congress pause when it considers intervening in Venezuela’s affairs. Rather than seeking to unilaterally push Maduro out, the U.S. should cooperate with other Latin American countries to pursue a negotiated settlement.